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tennis.computer

A tennis model with opinions — surface-aware ratings that disagree with the rankings on purpose, every pre-match call locked and graded in public.

the model's read
as of 2026-06-07
── the model's world ranking

Who's actually best

  1. 1Jannik SinnerATP #1≈ ATP
  2. 2Carlos AlcarazATP #2≈ ATP
  3. 3Novak DjokovicATP #7▲ 4
  4. 4Alexander ZverevATP #3≈ ATP
  5. 5Daniil MedvedevATP #8▲ 3
  6. 6Rafael JodarATP #23▲ 17
  7. 7Arthur FilsATP #21▲ 14
  8. 8Alex De MinaurATP #6≈ ATP

▲ the model rates them above their ATP ranking · ▼ below it. Full rankings →

── where we disagree with the ATP

Hot takes

underrated
the model is cool on
── live forecast

Who wins Generali Open - Kitzbuhel?

The model simulates the draw — right now it's the favourite, but beatable.

Full draw forecast →
look up
Any player →

66k+ players, full career records + the model's read.

closest call · clay
Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils →

50% / 50% — the model's tightest marquee call

the feed · the model's latest reads
All insights →
Mover · 2026-06-07
+128
Matteo Arnaldi is the tour's biggest riser — up 128 Elo in eight weeks
Elo gained · 8 weeks
tennis.computer
Model read · 2026-06-07
+82 Elo
The model's clear No. 1: Sinner leads Alcaraz by 82 Elo
Sinner's Elo lead over Alcaraz
tennis.computer
Mover · 2026-06-07
2192
Rafael Jodar already carries a near-elite rating off just 34 tour matches
Elo · 34 tour matches
tennis.computer
Story · 2026-06-07
4
Four players have gained 100+ Elo in eight weeks
players +100 Elo in 8 weeks
tennis.computer
Discovery · 2026-06-07
Clay still lifts Tsitsipas most — the model rates him 142 Elo higher on the dirt
tennis.computer
Discovery · 2026-06-07
The model and the rankings disagree most about Gaël Monfils — 145 places apart
tennis.computer

Every percentage is scored against what actually happened — 0.591 log-loss vs the betting market's 0.575, calibration error 0.007. That's why the opinions are worth reading.

How it works →Live record →